Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ENS prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-07-13 15.835584 17.988386 20.434042 23.440925 27.069801 31.348669 36.836900
2025-07-20 13.360351 16.142629 19.584785 24.238205 30.496116 38.821657 51.099482
2025-07-27 11.428054 14.334909 18.126000 23.573571 31.451017 42.860989 61.536617
2025-08-03 10.530577 13.643930 17.896549 24.352990 34.342652 50.054128 78.652870
2025-08-10 9.516543 12.628985 17.030055 23.999540 35.373110 54.503693 92.634984
2025-08-17 8.704132 11.786999 16.276814 23.652131 36.272095 58.846178 107.917065
2025-08-24 8.073405 11.132657 15.708309 23.481579 37.386455 63.777714 126.361232
2025-08-31 7.441712 10.411569 14.949993 22.875184 37.586863 66.961647 142.221114
2025-09-07 6.974329 9.896718 14.457793 22.643561 38.419152 71.616182 164.040403
2025-09-14 6.405098 9.176781 13.565419 21.592038 37.472501 72.168989 174.893536
2025-09-21 5.887926 8.503071 12.693621 20.480056 36.231128 71.772910 182.865111
2025-09-28 5.515891 8.037304 12.132560 19.880149 35.958322 73.632861 199.326508
2025-10-05 5.656592 8.427388 13.082308 22.300797 42.742637 95.730522 308.405267
2025-10-12 5.514895 8.336170 13.182438 23.078521 46.045776 110.033913 406.172567
2025-10-19 5.188233 7.905927 12.632747 22.453892 45.852882 113.882416 457.935877
2025-10-26 5.072079 7.829796 12.723650 23.184097 49.214167 130.587538 613.447531
2025-11-02 4.831163 7.518112 12.346532 22.853076 49.736447 137.886833 722.896369
2025-11-09 4.610957 7.229554 11.990801 22.527620 50.217161 145.350187 853.801260
2025-11-16 4.427219 6.995372 11.721986 22.367806 51.141889 155.103526 1037.951036
2025-11-23 4.212118 6.692256 11.296678 21.799388 50.773511 159.440505 1182.073477
2025-11-30 4.050053 6.477649 11.032102 21.582184 51.428918 168.732994 1433.267207
2025-12-07 3.819123 6.124776 10.468956 20.595523 49.542674 165.559527 1492.664838
2025-12-14 3.596009 5.777575 9.899958 19.551029 47.336285 160.216011 1506.862839